Out of the top three Spaniards, I honestly believe Jorge is the slowest, due to the limits of the Yamaha because of the direction the bike development has taken. They are really good at speed in the corners, but they have just sacrificed too much in braking and acceleration to keep up with the Hondas, this is why if he is going to win, he has to get out front, and get a big lead otherwise he is screwed. That's no way to race if you're dependent on big starting leads and can't actually fight for your place.
I also believe that, despite his lack of character in front of the camera, Dani is a very emotional guy. I think he was just as fast as Stoner (see the last 6 races of last season) but he felt overshadowed by him and Stoner just dominated the scene and fought with Jorge until he injured himself. Then when Marc shows up, a big attitude, who likes to smile, laugh and even dance on camera, not to mention he doesn't care who you are on the track, he's going to race you, Dani probably felt a bit overshadowed again. It's almost like he felt since Stoner was gone, it was his "turn" to be the best, but when that wasn't handed to him thanks to Marc, he didn't know what to do and kind of shut down.
Like the announcers said, the only way for Dani to win is to get angry and not feel defeated before he shows up to the starting grid. I think he showed up at Aargon and said "I need to do something", and he did, but when he got knocked out that just pushed him all the harder to "do something" in Malaysia.
So the question is, can he keep that fight alive, or is he gonna get emotional and get shut down again? There is no question in my mind a Honda will win at Philip Island, it's just will it be Dani or Marc?
As for Rossi, he's clearly fourth fastest, but I can't help but wonder if he is trying to steer back away from the direction Jorge has taken the bike, to try and deal with the Hondas next year. I know Mark won't like this
but I wouldn't be surprised if he comes out swinging in a big way next year after focusing on making the bike more competitive with the Hondas while Jorge is so busy trying to keep his precious corner speed.
And the Ducatis???! Please please pleeaassee make some big changes this winter and come out swinging next year!!! How great would it be to have 6 competitive bikes up front?!