MotoGP 2019 - How many races before Lorenzo wins?

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Its the last race of the year this weekend and then straight into testing. Arguably the biggest rider move this year is Lorenzo to Repsol Honda, the question is;

At which race do you think Lorenzo will win his first race? Or will he struggle for the first year? ( I assume that Honda will have learnt from watching Ducati and will have a modified tank ready by day 2 of testing..)

Provisional 2019 Calendar

Round Event Race day

1 QATAR GP 10th MARCH
2 ARGENTINA GP 31st MARCH
3 AMERICAS GP 14th APRIL
4 SPANISH GP 05th MAY
5 FRENCH GP 19th MAY
6 ITALIAN GP 02nd JUNE
7 CATALUNYA GP 16th JUNE
8 DUTCH GP TT 30th JUNE
9 GERMAN GP 07th JULY
10 CZECH GP 04th AUGUST
11 AUSTRIAN GP 11th AUGUST
12 BRITISH GP 25th AUGUST
13 SAN MARINO GP 15th SEPTEMBER
14 ARAGON GP 22nd SEPTEMBER
15 THAI GP 06th OCTOBER
16 JAPANESE GP 20th OCTOBER
17 AUSTRALIAN GP 27th OCTOBER
18 MALAYSIAN GP 03rd NOVEMBER
19 VALENCIA GP 17th NOVEMBER
 
5 6 or 7 so if i had to pick i am going to say catalunya but nothing before 4
 
i think the switch from YAM to DUC gave JLo a massive jump in terms of being able to adapt to machinery.
next on to honda. ... yeah, rossi has been on all 3 brands too , but not in the same era.

depsite that, i think JLo will struggle with the honda first, since it's probably somewhat a MM - turd. that MM can ride well, since he's been riding it exclusively. What did Pedro pull on it?

JLo will have to risk a lot.

i say race 7.
 
i think the switch from YAM to DUC gave JLo a massive jump in terms of being able to adapt to machinery.
next on to honda. ... yeah, rossi has been on all 3 brands too , but not in the same era.

depsite that, i think JLo will struggle with the honda first, since it's probably somewhat a MM - turd. that MM can ride well, since he's been riding it exclusively. What did Pedro pull on it?

JLo will have to risk a lot.

i say race 7.

ha we said the same thing
 
Dovi champ in 2019,

one can hope.

If he gets Danilo on board with keeping his back clear and disturbing competitors, why not?

I mean there must be some Italian camaraderie in them. Or not?
 
If he gets Danilo on board with keeping his back clear and disturbing competitors, why not?

I mean there must be some Italian camaraderie in them. Or not?

It would be nice to think so but I doubt it as the first person to beat in racing is your team mate.. I can't think that MM and JL are going to be best of mates in the garage either.
 
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If he gets Danilo on board with keeping his back clear and disturbing competitors, why not?

I mean there must be some Italian camaraderie in them. Or not?

jack miller will be better than danilo on the same bike.
 
at this time next year we will have the great 8 for MM. once MM wins 10 by 2024 he will be on the ducati and will win them their first championship since 07.

then i can get the MM limited edition ducati R.

PS anybody read then hear the rumors that stoner will be testing fro HRC. MM JL and CS in the same stable are you kidding me.
 
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at this time next year we will have the great 8 for MM. once MM wins 10 by 2024 he will be on the ducati and will win them their first championship since 07.

then i can get the MM limited edition ducati R.

PS anybody read then hear the rumors that stoner will be testing fro HRC. MM JL and CS in the same stable are you kidding me.

I read that he has been released from his role as Ducati test rider - hadn't heard that the had move over to HRC. If thats true, the other manufacturers may as well pack up and go home now as that'd be a fairly formidable team.
 
I hate JLo with the passion of 40k years, but still believe he can win by race 4, as i’ve stated above. When CS27 joined Repsol in 2011, he won race 1, 4, 5, and 6. Yes he’s in a different league than JLo, but I am not gonna sell JLo short when it comes to his speed. If MM can win on it, so can JLo.
 

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