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MM wouldn’t be doing as good if the riders in the first few places weren’t so crash prone lately. The last couple of races he was coming from the 5th row to get a podium, largely based on early retirements by other riders.

Before Mugello, they were saying he made up 45 places in 4 races. Are you asserting most of those positions were gained through attrition and not through on track passing? If not, it doesn’t seem fair to say it was “largely” based on retirements.
 
Having a poor qualifying session places him in a row with slower riders who aren’t a match for his speed. Getting out of those mid pack positions isn’t surprising for a rider of his skill. Actually getting to the podium gets much easier from 6th when rider occupying those positions keep crashing out.
 
Martin to factory Aprilia. Would be a coup for Aprilia and a slap in the face from Martin to Ducati Corse for passing him over for Bastianini. He's best friends with Aleix and the Aprilia is more than capable of winning races. Also, if he goes to Corse he'll play second fiddle to Pecco. And if Martin goes to Aprilia, he'll be the favored rider since Vinales hasn't really consistently proven himself.

Called it
 
Is there something wrong with Pramac ?

JM doesn't want to stay, MM doesn't want to go there.
But yet Pramac has made JM competitive package for 2 years in the row.
 
Here we go

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