Ducati gives a offset of 24.5 degrees with a 100mm trail. I measured the offset at 30mm. I measured the radius of the front tire at 295mm, that is center of the axle to the ground, taking into account the tire deforming under the weight of the bike. This gives a mechanical trail of 101.5mm. If my wife sits on the bike, ~140lbs, the front tire radius is now 292mm and the trail is 100.1mm. I'm probably 60-70lbs heavier plus another 25lbs with riding gear. I can see the tire deforming slightly more, but I would think that a sliding scale which depends on the air pressure.
Are trail numbers given when there's a rider on the bike, or when the bike is merely under it's own weight?
I've also come across trail calculators which take into account fork length, but only for calculators that also output a wheelbase number.
This was the calculator I was using for purposes of this post.
https://www.calculatoratoz.com/en/mechanical-trail-calculator/Calc-34933
In my quest to understand bike geometry, I also came across an old Ducati Corse document, from the 1990s on Ducati.ms which basically said trail should be the last thing considered after all other areas of the suspension was addressed.